Skip to main content

Economic Trends


Expect A Subtle Shift, Not A Fed Pivot

The Federal Reserve's rhetoric may become less hawkish, but don't expect a pivot to rate cuts.


Will GDP Growth in Q3 Derail A Fed Pivot?

GDP flipped positive, but underlying data isn't compelling, and an inverted yield curve suggests growth could be fleeting.


Jobs Data Likely Means Higher Interest Rates

The unemployment rate fell last month, providing the Federal Reserve cover for additional increases to the Federal Funds rate.

THUMB Treasury-Bonds-2-JS-092722

Treasury Bonds Did Something They Haven’t Done In 40 Years

Treasury Bond yields have broken a downtrend stretching back to the 1980s.


The Federal Reserve Remains Stocks’ Enemy

The Federal Reserve increased interest rates by another 0.75% today, stiffening the headwind for stocks.


Stocks: August’s CPI Report Deals A Blow to Bulls

Stocks were sent crashing because inflation remained stubbornly high in August.


Is Oil’s Negative Impact on Inflation Almost Over?

Oil and gasoline have contributed to inflation this year, but lower prices could mean inflation decelerates.


Here’s Why Stocks Sold Off

The Fed's hawkish comments have taken a toll on stocks.